Those holding Dareway Software Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688579) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 25% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 27% in the last twelve months.
After such a large jump in price, Dareway SoftwareLtd may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 61.1x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 31x and even P/E's lower than 19x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
For example, consider that Dareway SoftwareLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Dareway SoftwareLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Dareway SoftwareLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 34%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 22% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 40% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.
In light of this, it's alarming that Dareway SoftwareLtd's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Dareway SoftwareLtd's P/E
The strong share price surge has got Dareway SoftwareLtd's P/E rushing to great heights as well. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Dareway SoftwareLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Having said that, be aware Dareway SoftwareLtd is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Dareway SoftwareLtd. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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