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丰业银行:Lithium Americas(LAC.US)成本超支挤压资产价值 下调目标价至7美元

Scotiabank: Cost overrun for Lithium Americas (LAC.US) reduces asset value to $7

Zhitong Finance ·  Mar 19 14:50

Scotiabank Canada downgraded Lithium Americas' stock rating from “outperforming the industry” to “in line with the industry” and lowered its target price from $15 to $7.

Zhitong Finance learned that on Monday, Scotiabank Canada downgraded the stock rating of Lithium Americas (LAC.US) from “outperforming the industry” to “in line with the industry” and lowered the target price from $15 to $7 to reflect the cost overrun of Thacker Pass by 30% — from the previous $2.27 billion to $2.93 billion, and said that the excess capital expenditure of only $660 million would shrink its net assets by about $4 per share.

Scotiabank estimates that to complete the first phase, there will be a financing gap of about 300 million US dollars, equivalent to about one-third of the company's market value; Scotiabank analyst Ben Isaacson believes that considering the current interest rate environment and market valuation of Lithium Americas bonds, this may be an expensive financing.

The analyst updated the funding hypothesis for the final portion of Lithium Americas' $330 million, saying that even if Scotiabank assumes an issue price of $8 and the share price is around $6, the stock will be significantly diluted compared to previous expectations, and the company will not fund this portion until the funding gap is resolved. Additionally, in line with Scotiabank's fourth quarter report, Isaacson reduced the price of lithium carbonate equivalent (LCE) from $25,000 per ton to $20,000 per ton, and the discount rate increased from 8% to 10%.

The translation is provided by third-party software.


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