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There's Reason For Concern Over Chongqing Wanli New Energy Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600847) Massive 39% Price Jump

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 17 08:14

Those holding Chongqing Wanli New Energy Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600847) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 39% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 37% in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large jump in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Chongqing Wanli New Energy's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.3x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Electrical industry in China, seeing as it matches the P/S ratio of the wider industry. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600847 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 17th 2024

What Does Chongqing Wanli New Energy's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

The revenue growth achieved at Chongqing Wanli New Energy over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to only keep up with the broader industry, which has keeping the P/S in line with expectations. Those who are bullish on Chongqing Wanli New Energy will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Chongqing Wanli New Energy's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Chongqing Wanli New Energy's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Chongqing Wanli New Energy would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 13%. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with revenue shrinking 5.2% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 26% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Chongqing Wanli New Energy's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Chongqing Wanli New Energy's P/S?

Chongqing Wanli New Energy's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our look at Chongqing Wanli New Energy revealed its shrinking revenues over the medium-term haven't impacted the P/S as much as we anticipated, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Chongqing Wanli New Energy you should be aware of, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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