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Improved Revenues Required Before Future Bright Holdings Limited (HKG:703) Stock's 35% Jump Looks Justified

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 15 06:16

Future Bright Holdings Limited (HKG:703) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 35% gain and recovering from prior weakness.    The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 29%.  

Even after such a large jump in price, Future Bright Holdings may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x, since almost half of all companies in the Hospitality industry in Hong Kong have P/S ratios greater than 0.9x and even P/S higher than 3x are not unusual.   Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.  

SEHK:703 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 14th 2024

How Has Future Bright Holdings Performed Recently?

We'd have to say that with no tangible growth over the last year, Future Bright Holdings' revenue has been unimpressive.   One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think this benign revenue growth rate will likely underperform the broader industry in the near future.  If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.    

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Future Bright Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.  

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Future Bright Holdings?  

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Future Bright Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.  

If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago.   This isn't what shareholders were looking for as it means they've been left with a 51% decline in revenue over the last three years in total.  Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.  

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 24% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's understandable that Future Bright Holdings' P/S would sit below the majority of other companies.  Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse.  There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.  

What We Can Learn From Future Bright Holdings' P/S?

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Future Bright Holdings' P/S close to the industry median.      While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

It's no surprise that Future Bright Holdings maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term.  Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either.  Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.    

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for Future Bright Holdings (1 can't be ignored!) that you need to be mindful of.  

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

The above content is for informational or educational purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice related to Futu. Although we strive to ensure the truthfulness, accuracy, and originality of all such content, we cannot guarantee it.
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