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The Three-year Decline in Earnings for Guanghui LogisticsLtd SHSE:600603) Isn't Encouraging, but Shareholders Are Still up 71% Over That Period

The Three-year Decline in Earnings for Guanghui LogisticsLtd SHSE:600603) Isn't Encouraging, but Shareholders Are Still up 71% Over That Period

廣匯物流有限公司(SHSE: 600603)的三年收益下降並不令人鼓舞,但同期股東仍增長了71%
Simply Wall St ·  03/12 10:55

By buying an index fund, investors can approximate the average market return. But if you pick the right individual stocks, you could make more than that. For example, Guanghui Logistics Co.Ltd (SHSE:600603) shareholders have seen the share price rise 60% over three years, well in excess of the market decline (20%, not including dividends).

通過購買指數基金,投資者可以估算出平均市場回報率。但是,如果你選擇正確的個股,你的收入可能不止於此。例如,廣匯物流有限公司(SHSE: 600603)股東的股價在三年內上漲了60%,遠遠超過了市場跌幅(20%,不包括股息)。

Although Guanghui LogisticsLtd has shed CN¥409m from its market cap this week, let's take a look at its longer term fundamental trends and see if they've driven returns.

儘管光輝物流有限公司本週的市值下跌了4.09億元人民幣,但讓我們來看看其長期基本面趨勢,看看它們是否推動了回報。

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話來說:從短期來看,市場是一臺投票機器,但從長遠來看,它是一臺稱重機。研究市場情緒如何隨着時間的推移而變化的一種方法是研究公司股價與其每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。

During the three years of share price growth, Guanghui LogisticsLtd actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) drop 11% per year.

在股價增長的三年中,光輝物流有限公司的每股收益(EPS)實際上每年下降11%。

Thus, it seems unlikely that the market is focussed on EPS growth at the moment. Given this situation, it makes sense to look at other metrics too.

因此,目前市場似乎不太可能專注於每股收益的增長。鑑於這種情況,也應該考慮其他指標。

It could be that the revenue growth of 10% per year is viewed as evidence that Guanghui LogisticsLtd is growing. If the company is being managed for the long term good, today's shareholders might be right to hold on.

每年10%的收入增長可能被視爲光輝物流有限公司增長的證據。如果公司的管理是爲了長期利益,那麼今天的股東堅持下去可能是正確的。

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下圖中看到收入和收入隨時間推移而發生的變化(點擊圖表查看確切值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:600603 Earnings and Revenue Growth March 12th 2024
SHSE: 600603 2024 年 3 月 12 日收益和收入增長

We know that Guanghui LogisticsLtd has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on Guanghui LogisticsLtd

我們知道廣匯物流有限公司最近提高了利潤,但是未來會怎樣?這份顯示分析師預測的免費報告應該可以幫助您對廣匯物流有限公司形成看法

What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

那麼股東總回報(TSR)呢?

Investors should note that there's a difference between Guanghui LogisticsLtd's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price change, which we've covered above. Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. Dividends have been really beneficial for Guanghui LogisticsLtd shareholders, and that cash payout contributed to why its TSR of 71%, over the last 3 years, is better than the share price return.

投資者應注意,廣匯物流有限公司的股東總回報率(TSR)與其股價變動之間存在差異,我們在上面已經介紹了這一點。可以說,股東總回報率是更完整的回報計算方法,因爲它考慮了股息的價值(就好像是再投資一樣),以及向股東提供的任何貼現資本的假設價值。分紅確實爲廣匯物流有限公司的股東帶來了好處,而這種現金支付是其過去3年中71%的股東總回報率好於股價回報率的原因。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While it's never nice to take a loss, Guanghui LogisticsLtd shareholders can take comfort that their trailing twelve month loss of 6.1% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 13%. Of course, the long term returns are far more important and the good news is that over five years, the stock has returned 12% for each year. It could be that the business is just facing some short term problems, but shareholders should keep a close eye on the fundamentals. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Guanghui LogisticsLtd that you should be aware of.

儘管虧損從來都不是一件好事,但光輝物流有限公司的股東可以放心,他們過去十二個月的6.1%的虧損沒有市場損失13%左右的虧損那麼嚴重。當然,長期回報要重要得多,好消息是,在過去的五年中,該股每年的回報率爲12%。可能是該企業正面臨一些短期問題,但股東應密切關注基本面。我發現將長期股價視爲業務績效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,我們已經爲廣匯物流有限公司確定了一個警告標誌,你應該注意這個標誌。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

如果你想與管理層一起購買股票,那麼你可能會喜歡這份免費的公司名單。(提示:業內人士一直在購買它們)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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