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Even With A 40% Surge, Cautious Investors Are Not Rewarding Sezzle Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SEZL) Performance Completely

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 10 20:59

Despite an already strong run, Sezzle Inc. (NASDAQ:SEZL) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 40% in the last thirty days. Longer-term shareholders would be thankful for the recovery in the share price since it's now virtually flat for the year after the recent bounce.

Although its price has surged higher, there still wouldn't be many who think Sezzle's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.1x is worth a mention when the median P/S in the United States' Diversified Financial industry is similar at about 2.6x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:SEZL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 10th 2024

How Has Sezzle Performed Recently?

Revenue has risen firmly for Sezzle recently, which is pleasing to see. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this respectable revenue growth might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Sezzle, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Sezzle's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Sezzle would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 27%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 171% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is only predicted to deliver 4.3% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this information, we find it interesting that Sezzle is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

What Does Sezzle's P/S Mean For Investors?

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Sezzle's P/S is back within range of the industry median. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

To our surprise, Sezzle revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't contributing to its P/S as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/S ratio. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to see the likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Sezzle (of which 3 are a bit concerning!) you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Sezzle, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

The above content is for informational or educational purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice related to Futu. Although we strive to ensure the truthfulness, accuracy, and originality of all such content, we cannot guarantee it.
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