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After Leaping 37% Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688152) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 7 06:13

Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688152) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 37% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Still, the 30-day jump doesn't change the fact that longer term shareholders have seen their stock decimated by the 67% share price drop in the last twelve months.

Following the firm bounce in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Software industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 5.2x, you may consider Hunan Kylinsec Technology as a stock not worth researching with its 22.4x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688152 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 6th 2024

What Does Hunan Kylinsec Technology's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Hunan Kylinsec Technology could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Hunan Kylinsec Technology will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Hunan Kylinsec Technology would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 58% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 27% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 306% during the coming year according to the only analyst following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 33%, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Hunan Kylinsec Technology's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What Does Hunan Kylinsec Technology's P/S Mean For Investors?

Shares in Hunan Kylinsec Technology have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Hunan Kylinsec Technology maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Software industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Having said that, be aware Hunan Kylinsec Technology is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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