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Optimistic Investors Push Fsilon Furnishing and Construction Materials Corporation (SHSE:605318) Shares Up 26% But Growth Is Lacking

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 22 06:42

Those holding Fsilon Furnishing and Construction Materials Corporation (SHSE:605318) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 26% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 14% is also fairly reasonable.

Since its price has surged higher, you could be forgiven for thinking Fsilon Furnishing and Construction Materials is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 3.2x, considering almost half the companies in China's Consumer Durables industry have P/S ratios below 1.8x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:605318 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 21st 2024

What Does Fsilon Furnishing and Construction Materials' Recent Performance Look Like?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Fsilon Furnishing and Construction Materials over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Fsilon Furnishing and Construction Materials' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Fsilon Furnishing and Construction Materials would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 6.9%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 48% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 12% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is pretty similar based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

In light of this, it's curious that Fsilon Furnishing and Construction Materials' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Nevertheless, they may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Fsilon Furnishing and Construction Materials' P/S

Fsilon Furnishing and Construction Materials shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Fsilon Furnishing and Construction Materials revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't impacting its high P/S as much as we would have predicted, given they look similar to current industry expectations. When we see average revenue with industry-like growth combined with a high P/S, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with the industry too. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Having said that, be aware Fsilon Furnishing and Construction Materials is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those are a bit unpleasant.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Fsilon Furnishing and Construction Materials, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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