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Some Ribo Fashion Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603196) Shareholders Look For Exit As Shares Take 26% Pounding

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 4 08:00

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Ribo Fashion Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603196) shares are down a considerable 26% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. Still, a bad month hasn't completely ruined the past year with the stock gaining 31%, which is great even in a bull market.

Although its price has dipped substantially, when almost half of the companies in China's Luxury industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.6x, you may still consider Ribo Fashion Group as a stock probably not worth researching with its 2.5x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:603196 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 4th 2024

How Ribo Fashion Group Has Been Performing

For instance, Ribo Fashion Group's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Ribo Fashion Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Ribo Fashion Group's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Ribo Fashion Group's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 6.0%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 11% overall rise in revenue. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 20% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this information, we find it concerning that Ribo Fashion Group is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

There's still some elevation in Ribo Fashion Group's P/S, even if the same can't be said for its share price recently. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

The fact that Ribo Fashion Group currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Plus, you should also learn about these 6 warning signs we've spotted with Ribo Fashion Group (including 2 which are significant).

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Ribo Fashion Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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