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QingCloud Technologies Corp.'s (SHSE:688316) 26% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 31 07:24

To the annoyance of some shareholders, QingCloud Technologies Corp. (SHSE:688316) shares are down a considerable 26% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. Longer-term, the stock has been solid despite a difficult 30 days, gaining 19% in the last year.

Even after such a large drop in price, when almost half of the companies in China's IT industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.7x, you may still consider QingCloud Technologies as a stock probably not worth researching with its 5.6x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for QingCloud Technologies

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688316 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 30th 2024

What Does QingCloud Technologies' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For example, consider that QingCloud Technologies' financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on QingCloud Technologies' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

QingCloud Technologies' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 9.2%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 4.4% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 45% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that QingCloud Technologies is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From QingCloud Technologies' P/S?

Despite the recent share price weakness, QingCloud Technologies' P/S remains higher than most other companies in the industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that QingCloud Technologies currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for QingCloud Technologies you should know about.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

The above content is for informational or educational purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice related to Futu. Although we strive to ensure the truthfulness, accuracy, and originality of all such content, we cannot guarantee it.
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