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Optimism Around Deluxe Family (SHSE:600503) Delivering New Earnings Growth May Be Shrinking as Stock Declines 11% This Past Week

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 23 09:06

As an investor its worth striving to ensure your overall portfolio beats the market average. But its virtually certain that sometimes you will buy stocks that fall short of the market average returns. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Deluxe Family Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600503) shareholders, since the share price is down 38% in the last three years, falling well short of the market decline of around 26%. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 18% in the last 90 days.

After losing 11% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.

View our latest analysis for Deluxe Family

We don't think that Deluxe Family's modest trailing twelve month profit has the market's full attention at the moment. We think revenue is probably a better guide. As a general rule, we think this kind of company is more comparable to loss-making stocks, since the actual profit is so low. It would be hard to believe in a more profitable future without growing revenues.

In the last three years Deluxe Family saw its revenue shrink by 98% per year. That's definitely a weaker result than most pre-profit companies report. On the face of it we'd posit the share price fall of 11% compound, over three years is well justified by the fundamental deterioration. It would probably be worth asking whether the company can fund itself to profitability. Of course, it is possible for businesses to bounce back from a revenue drop - but we'd want to see that before getting interested.

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:600503 Earnings and Revenue Growth January 23rd 2024

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

A Different Perspective

The total return of 17% received by Deluxe Family shareholders over the last year isn't far from the market return of -18%. So last year was actually even worse than the last five years, which cost shareholders 5% per year. Weak performance over the long term usually destroys market confidence in a stock, but bargain hunters may want to take a closer look for signs of a turnaround. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - Deluxe Family has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about.

But note: Deluxe Family may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

The above content is for informational or educational purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice related to Futu. Although we strive to ensure the truthfulness, accuracy, and originality of all such content, we cannot guarantee it.
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