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The One-year Underlying Earnings Growth at Black Peony (Group) (SHSE:600510) Is Promising, but the Shareholders Are Still in the Red Over That Time

The One-year Underlying Earnings Growth at Black Peony (Group) (SHSE:600510) Is Promising, but the Shareholders Are Still in the Red Over That Time

黑牡丹(集團)(SHSE: 600510)一年的基礎收益增長令人鼓舞,但在此期間,股東仍處於虧損狀態
Simply Wall St ·  01/20 07:19

One simple way to benefit from a rising market is to buy an index fund. By comparison, an individual stock is unlikely to match market returns - and could well fall short. One such example is Black Peony (Group) Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600510), which saw its share price fall 22% over a year, against a market decline of 17%. At least the damage isn't so bad if you look at the last three years, since the stock is down 16% in that time. And the share price decline continued over the last week, dropping some 6.7%.

從市場上漲中獲益的一種簡單方法是購買指數基金。相比之下,個股不太可能與市場回報相提並論,而且很可能達不到市場回報。黑牡丹(集團)有限公司(上海證券交易所代碼:600510)就是一個例子,該公司的股價在一年內下跌了22%,而市場下跌了17%。如果你看一下過去三年,至少損失還不錯,因爲當時該股下跌了16%。上週股價繼續下跌,下跌了約6.7%。

Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.

鑑於過去一週對股東的處境艱難,讓我們研究一下基本面,看看能學到什麼。

View our latest analysis for Black Peony (Group)

查看我們對 Black Peony(群組)的最新分析

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多茲維爾的超級投資者 沃倫·巴菲特描述了股價如何並不總是能合理地反映企業的價值。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股價隨時間推移的變化,我們可以了解投資者對公司的態度如何隨着時間的推移而變化。

During the unfortunate twelve months during which the Black Peony (Group) share price fell, it actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 192%. It could be that the share price was previously over-hyped.

在黑牡丹(集團)股價下跌的不幸十二個月中,其每股收益(EPS)實際上增長了192%。可能是股價此前被過度炒作。

The divergence between the EPS and the share price is quite notable, during the year. But we might find some different metrics explain the share price movements better.

在這一年中,每股收益和股價之間的差異非常明顯。但是我們可能會發現一些不同的指標可以更好地解釋股價走勢。

Black Peony (Group) managed to grow revenue over the last year, which is usually a real positive. Since the fundamental metrics don't readily explain the share price drop, there might be an opportunity if the market has overreacted.

去年,黑牡丹(集團)成功實現收入增長,這通常是一個真正的積極因素。由於基本面指標不容易解釋股價下跌,因此如果市場反應過度,可能會有機會。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

公司的收入和收益(一段時間內)如下圖所示(點擊查看確切數字)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:600510 Earnings and Revenue Growth January 19th 2024
SHSE: 600510 收益和收入增長 2024 年 1 月 19 日

If you are thinking of buying or selling Black Peony (Group) stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

如果您正在考慮買入或賣出黑牡丹(集團)股票,則應在其資產負債表上查看這份免費的詳細報告。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Black Peony (Group)'s TSR for the last 1 year was -19%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率和股價回報率。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息都經過再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。可以說,股東總回報率更全面地描述了股票產生的回報。碰巧的是,黑牡丹(集團)過去1年的股東總回報率爲-19%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

We regret to report that Black Peony (Group) shareholders are down 19% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 17%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 0.8% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - Black Peony (Group) has 3 warning signs (and 2 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about.

我們遺憾地報告,黑牡丹(集團)的股東今年下跌了19%(甚至包括股息)。不幸的是,這比整個市場17%的跌幅還要嚴重。但是,可能只是股價受到了更廣泛的市場緊張情緒的影響。如果有很好的機會,可能值得關注基本面。好的一面是,長期股東賺了錢,在過去的五年中,每年增長0.8%。如果基本面數據繼續顯示長期可持續增長,那麼當前的拋售可能是一個值得考慮的機會。儘管市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響值得考慮,但還有其他因素更爲重要。例如,冒險吧——黑牡丹(群組)有 3 個警告標誌(以及 2 個不容忽視的),我們認爲你應該知道。

Of course Black Peony (Group) may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

當然,黑牡丹(集團)可能不是最好的買入股票。因此,您可能希望看到這批免費的成長股。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報率。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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