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Some Confidence Is Lacking In Guizhou Changzheng Tiancheng Holding Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600112) As Shares Slide 25%

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 19 06:15

Guizhou Changzheng Tiancheng Holding Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600112) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 25% share price drop in the last month. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 52% share price decline.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, given around half the companies in China's Electrical industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.4x, you may still consider Guizhou Changzheng Tiancheng HoldingLtd as a stock to avoid entirely with its 7.4x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

View our latest analysis for Guizhou Changzheng Tiancheng HoldingLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600112 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 18th 2024

How Has Guizhou Changzheng Tiancheng HoldingLtd Performed Recently?

It looks like revenue growth has deserted Guizhou Changzheng Tiancheng HoldingLtd recently, which is not something to boast about. It might be that many are expecting an improvement to the uninspiring revenue performance over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Guizhou Changzheng Tiancheng HoldingLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Guizhou Changzheng Tiancheng HoldingLtd's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. This isn't what shareholders were looking for as it means they've been left with a 29% decline in revenue over the last three years in total. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 30% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that Guizhou Changzheng Tiancheng HoldingLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Guizhou Changzheng Tiancheng HoldingLtd's P/S

Guizhou Changzheng Tiancheng HoldingLtd's shares may have suffered, but its P/S remains high. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Guizhou Changzheng Tiancheng HoldingLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.

A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for Guizhou Changzheng Tiancheng HoldingLtd with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

The above content is for informational or educational purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice related to Futu. Although we strive to ensure the truthfulness, accuracy, and originality of all such content, we cannot guarantee it.
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