Glonghui, January 3 | Morgan Stanley released a report stating that for Macau gambling stocks, last year was a year of reopening and rapid revenue growth (gambling revenue increased 3.3 times year over year). Despite full recovery, the bank expects overall gambling revenue, mid-time gambling revenue and EBITDA to increase by 29%, 25%, and 33% respectively this year. The bank's gambling revenue forecast for the industry remains basically unchanged, that is, the 2024 midfield gambling revenue forecast is expected to increase 25% year-on-year, to 111% of the 2019 level; next year, it is expected to increase 7% year-on-year, to 119% of the 2019 level. In addition, the bank increased operating expenses and reinvestment cost forecasts for expo companies, maintained a constructive view of the industry, and lowered the industry EBITDA forecast for this year and next two years by 3% to 8.5 billion and 9.2 billion US dollars, respectively, equivalent to 92% and 100% of 2019 levels. Regarding this year's mid-market share forecast, the bank raised its forecast for MGM China and Wynn Macau. The former rose from 13.1% to 13.8%, while the latter rose from 11.9% to 12.7%; however, it lowered the forecasts for Sands China and Macau Expo (excluding satellite casinos), which fell from 28.2% to 27.3%, and 8.8% to 8%, respectively. Furthermore, the bank lowered Sands's dividend forecast, assuming a dividend payout ratio of 50% for today and next two years. The bank will reduce Sands's dividend payout for the next two years from HK$1 to HK$0.75 (equivalent to a projected dividend rate of 3.3%), and from HK$1.99 to HK$0.9 (equivalent to a predicted dividend rate of 3.9%); and maintain a no-dividend forecast for 2023.
大行评级|大摩:调高美高梅中国及永利澳门市占率预测 降金沙派息预测
Big Bank Ratings | Damo: Raising MGM China and Wynn Macau's Market Share Forecast and Lowering Sands Dividend Payout Forecast
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The above content is for informational or educational purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice related to Futu. Although we strive to ensure the truthfulness, accuracy, and originality of all such content, we cannot guarantee it.
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The above content is for informational or educational purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice related to Futu. Although we strive to ensure the truthfulness, accuracy, and originality of all such content, we cannot guarantee it.
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The above content is for informational or educational purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice related to Futu. Although we strive to ensure the truthfulness, accuracy, and originality of all such content, we cannot guarantee it.
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