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LEE & MAN CHEMICAL(00746.HK):NEW MATERIALS BUSINESS TO DRIVE A NEW ROUND OF GROWTH INITIATE WITH "BUY"

国泰君安国际 ·  Dec 27, 2023 16:26

Rating and TP: We initiate with a rating of "Buy" and a target price of HK$4.30, representing 2023/ 2024/ 2025 PER of 7.4x/ 3.8x/ 2.9x.

Our Views: 1) Lee & Man Chemical (LMC, or the "Company") is falsely regarded as a traditional chemical company with homogenous low-end products; 2) LMC's products matrix is improving with lower sensitivity to economic cycle compared with peers.

Investment Theme: LMC, historically a basic chemical producer, is significantly undervalued given its expansion into the high-potential new materials market. Despite its traditional reliance on chemicals like caustic soda and hydrogen peroxide, its recent ventures into lithium-ion battery additives and high-end fluoropolymers signal a transformation. With the expected completion of the new materials projects in Jiangxi and Zhuhai by 2025, the Company's new materials revenue is forecasted to reach approximately HK$4.7 billion (RMB4.3 billion). The market will likely recognize the discrepancy once its full potential in new materials is operational, leading to a substantial revaluation.

Catalysts: 1) New materials projects are set to commence production over 2024 and 2025; 2) prices of major products continue to recover, leading to higher profitability.

Risks: 1) Upcoming years may see an intense market competition due to significant capacity increases; 2) technological advancements in batteries could profoundly impact the demand for the Company's products.

The above content is for informational or educational purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice related to Futu. Although we strive to ensure the truthfulness, accuracy, and originality of all such content, we cannot guarantee it.
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