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Dasheng Times Cultural Investment Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600892) Shares May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 27, 2023 11:38

You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 14.8x Dasheng Times Cultural Investment Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600892) is a stock to avoid completely, seeing as almost half of all the Entertainment companies in China have P/S ratios under 7.1x and even P/S lower than 3x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Dasheng Times Cultural Investment

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600892 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 27th 2023

How Has Dasheng Times Cultural Investment Performed Recently?

For instance, Dasheng Times Cultural Investment's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Dasheng Times Cultural Investment, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Dasheng Times Cultural Investment would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 1.6%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 30% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 36% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's alarming that Dasheng Times Cultural Investment's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What Does Dasheng Times Cultural Investment's P/S Mean For Investors?

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our examination of Dasheng Times Cultural Investment revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Dasheng Times Cultural Investment has 2 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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