share_log

Is Guizhou Wire Rope (SHSE:600992) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Guizhou Wire Rope (SHSE:600992) Using Too Much Debt?

貴州鋼絲繩(SHSE: 600992)是否使用了過多的債務?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/12/15 06:43

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Guizhou Wire Rope Incorporated Company (SHSE:600992) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

沃倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:“波動性遠非風險的代名詞。”因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。我們注意到,貴州鋼絲繩股份有限公司(SHSE:600992)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

When Is Debt A Problem?

債務何時會成爲問題?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業發展的工具,但是如果企業無法還清貸款人,那麼債務就任其擺佈。歸根結底,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能會一無所獲地離開。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股本資本,從而永久稀釋股東。但是,通過取代稀釋,對於需要資金以高回報率投資增長的企業來說,債務可能是一個非常好的工具。考慮公司的債務水平的第一步是同時考慮其現金和債務。

Check out our latest analysis for Guizhou Wire Rope

查看我們對貴州鋼絲繩的最新分析

How Much Debt Does Guizhou Wire Rope Carry?

貴州鋼絲繩揹負了多少債務?

As you can see below, Guizhou Wire Rope had CN¥901.3m of debt, at September 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it also had CN¥271.1m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥630.1m.

如下所示,截至2023年9月,貴州鋼絲繩有9.013億元人民幣的債務,與前一年大致相同。您可以單擊圖表以獲取更多詳細信息。但是,它也有2.711億元人民幣的現金,因此其淨負債爲6.301億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600992 Debt to Equity History December 14th 2023
上海證券交易所:600992 債權與股權歷史記錄 2023 年 12 月 14 日

A Look At Guizhou Wire Rope's Liabilities

看看貴州鋼絲繩的負債

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Guizhou Wire Rope had liabilities of CN¥1.50b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥412.2m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥271.1m as well as receivables valued at CN¥609.0m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥1.03b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

縱觀最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,貴州鋼絲繩在12個月內到期的負債爲150億元人民幣,此後到期的負債爲4.122億元人民幣。爲了抵消這些債務,它有2.711億元人民幣的現金以及價值6.090億元人民幣的應收賬款,將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和高出10.3億元人民幣。

This deficit isn't so bad because Guizhou Wire Rope is worth CN¥3.90b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

這種赤字還不算嚴重,因爲貴州鋼絲繩的市值爲39.0億元人民幣,因此,如果需要的話,可能會籌集到足夠的資金來支撐其資產負債表。但是,仍然值得仔細研究其償還債務的能力。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

我們使用兩個主要比率來告知我們相對於收益的債務水平。第一個是淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),第二個是其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)覆蓋其利息支出(或簡稱利息保障)的多少倍。這樣,我們既考慮債務的絕對數量,也考慮爲債務支付的利率。

While Guizhou Wire Rope's debt to EBITDA ratio of 8.1 suggests a heavy debt load, its interest coverage of 9.3 implies it services that debt with ease. Overall we'd say it seems likely the company is carrying a fairly heavy swag of debt. Notably, Guizhou Wire Rope's EBIT launched higher than Elon Musk, gaining a whopping 321% on last year. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Guizhou Wire Rope will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

儘管貴州鋼絲繩的債務與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的比率爲8.1,這表明債務負擔沉重,但其9.3的利息覆蓋率意味着它可以輕鬆償還這筆債務。總的來說,我們可以說該公司似乎揹負着相當沉重的債務。值得注意的是,貴州鋼絲繩的息稅前利潤高於埃隆·馬斯克,比去年增長了321%。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲貴州鋼絲繩需要收入來償還這筆債務。因此,如果你想進一步了解其收益,可能值得看看這張長期收益趨勢圖。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Guizhou Wire Rope saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最後,儘管稅務員可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冷硬現金。因此,我們經常檢查息稅前利潤中有多少轉化爲自由現金流。在過去的三年中,貴州鋼絲繩的自由現金流總額爲負數。儘管投資者無疑預計這種情況將在適當的時候得到逆轉,但這顯然意味着它使用債務的風險更大。

Our View

我們的觀點

Neither Guizhou Wire Rope's ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow nor its net debt to EBITDA gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But its EBIT growth rate tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. We think that Guizhou Wire Rope's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Guizhou Wire Rope that you should be aware of.

貴州鋼絲繩將息稅前利潤轉換爲自由現金流的能力以及將其淨負債轉換爲息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的能力都沒有讓我們對其承擔更多債務的能力充滿信心。但其息稅前利潤增長率卻截然不同,表明它具有一定的彈性。綜合考慮了上述數據點後,我們認爲貴州鋼絲繩的債務確實使其有點風險。這不一定是一件壞事,因爲槓桿可以提高股本回報率,但這是需要注意的。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外的風險。例如,我們已經確定了貴州鋼絲繩的1個警告標誌,你應該注意。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

畢竟,如果你對一家資產負債表堅如磐石的快速成長型公司更感興趣,那麼請立即查看我們的淨現金增長股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
    搶先評論