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Sunmoon Food Company Limited (SGX:AAJ) Stock Rockets 35% But Many Are Still Ignoring The Company

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 8, 2023 06:02

Sunmoon Food Company Limited (SGX:AAJ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 35% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 9.5% isn't as attractive.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Sunmoon Food's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Singapore's Consumer Retailing industry is similar at about 0.4x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

See our latest analysis for Sunmoon Food

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SGX:AAJ Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 7th 2023

How Has Sunmoon Food Performed Recently?

For example, consider that Sunmoon Food's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Sunmoon Food will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Sunmoon Food's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 21%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 46% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 11% shows it's noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we find it interesting that Sunmoon Food is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance is at its limits and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On Sunmoon Food's P/S

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Sunmoon Food's P/S is back within range of the industry median. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We didn't quite envision Sunmoon Food's P/S sitting in line with the wider industry, considering the revenue growth over the last three-year is higher than the current industry outlook. There could be some unobserved threats to revenue preventing the P/S ratio from matching this positive performance. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Sunmoon Food has 4 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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