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Yamada Green Resources Limited's (SGX:BJV) 28% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Earnings

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 2, 2023 06:09

Yamada Green Resources Limited (SGX:BJV) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 28% share price jump in the last month. While recent buyers may be laughing, long-term holders might not be as pleased since the recent gain only brings the stock back to where it started a year ago.

Following the firm bounce in price, Yamada Green Resources' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 26x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Singapore, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 12x and even P/E's below 7x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Yamada Green Resources certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Yamada Green Resources

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SGX:BJV Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry November 1st 2023
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Yamada Green Resources will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Growth For Yamada Green Resources?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Yamada Green Resources would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 115% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 18% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 8.3% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.

With this information, we find it concerning that Yamada Green Resources is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Yamada Green Resources' P/E

Shares in Yamada Green Resources have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Yamada Green Resources currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Yamada Green Resources that you should be aware of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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