2023H1 performance is under pressure, valuations are low, and “buy” ratings are maintained
The company released its semi-annual report for 2023. 2023H1 achieved revenue of 1,342 million yuan, -14.22% year-on-year; net profit of 174 million yuan, -65.49%; net profit after deducting non-return net profit of 50 million yuan, -89.00% year-on-year; gross profit margin of 27.27%, -20.26pcts year-on-year. Calculated for 2023Q2, we achieved revenue of 710 million yuan in a single quarter, -12.17% year on month, +12.30%; net profit of 139 million yuan, year on year, -47.51% year on month, +304.25% month on month; net profit after deducting non-return net profit of 27 million yuan, -88.00% year on year, +12.95% month on month; gross profit margin 25.13%, year on year -19.84 pcts, month over month, -4.54 pcts. Considering factors such as weak consumer market demand, we lowered our performance forecast for 2023-2025, expected 2023- Net profit for 2025 was 6.94 (-2.13) /8.22 (-5.18) /11.26 (-476) million yuan, corresponding EPS was 1.03 (-0.31) /1.22 (-0.76) /1.66 (-0.69) yuan. The current stock price corresponding to PE is 32.5/27.5/20.1 times. The company's silicon products have excellent technical strength and low valuations, maintaining a “buy” rating.
Short-term performance is under pressure, industry prosperity is rebounding, domestic silicon substitution is being promoted, and the company's growth momentum is sufficient
2023H1 is constrained by weak industry prosperity, weak market demand, total revenue is under pressure, the capacity utilization rate of silicon polishing wafers has declined, prices of some silicon wafer products have been lowered, and sales prices of some semiconductor power device products have been lowered. At the same time, the company's gross margin has declined, and the company's net profit is under pressure. By business, the silicon business was constrained by falling demand for memory and consumer electronics products. 2023H1 revenue was 755 million yuan, -18.48% year on year, 2023Q2 revenue was 402 million yuan, +13.97% month on month; semiconductor power device business was constrained by the slump in the consumer electronics power device market, 2023H1 revenue was 538 million yuan, -10.69% year on year, and 2023Q2 revenue was 280 million yuan, +8.37% month on month; compound semiconductor RF chip business benefited from product technology breakthroughs, and orders on hand were significant. Growth, 2023H1's revenue increased sharply year-on-year, negative gross margin narrowed, and losses decreased; in terms of inventory, 2023Q2's inventory was 1,387 million yuan, or -19 million yuan over the previous year, and inventory levels fell; judging from the company's product structure, the production and sales volume of 2023H1's photovoltaic bypass diode control chips and automotive-grade power device chips increased dramatically. As the prosperity of the 2023H2 industry gradually picks up, domestic substitution of large silicon wafers continues to advance, and the company has sufficient momentum for growth.
Risk warning: Market demand falls short of expectations; market competition intensifies; product verification progress falls short of expectations.