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来伊份(603777)公司动态点评:拟定增不超5亿建设全渠道网络 夯实基础走向全国化

Dynamic Review of Laifen (603777) Company: it is proposed to increase no more than 500 million to build an all-channel network to consolidate the foundation for nationalization.

長城證券 ·  May 8, 2020 00:00  · Researches

Matters: the company plans to issue shares to specific investors, raising a total of no more than 500 million yuan, which is intended to be used for omni-channel marketing network construction projects and R & D center upgrading projects. The proposed offering price is not less than 80% of the average price of the stock price for 20 trading days before the pricing benchmark.

Full-channel layout to strengthen the effect of online and offline linkage. The company has formed all-channel networks such as direct stores, franchise stores, Tetong channels, e-commerce and Laifei APP platform, and the synergy effect has been continuously strengthened. 1. Offline direct operation and joining will go hand in hand to accelerate the process of nationalization. The company's direct business model has obvious competitive advantages in the industry. Since 18 years, the company has accelerated the development of franchise stores, focusing on North and South China. With the improvement of brand influence, the pace of store opening is expected to accelerate year by year; with the deepening of store empowerment, the profitability of individual stores is also expected to improve. 2. Power online channel and strengthen online and offline linkage. As the company strengthens its online marketing, the company's average sales increased rapidly last month in the past 17-19 years, second only to three squirrels. At present, the online channel continues to strengthen, and the performance during the epidemic is outstanding, which is expected to increase significantly in 20 years.

Let go of the franchise model, empower franchisees in all directions, and improve the profitability of stores. In 2017, the company launched the "Wanjia Lighting" plan to accelerate the expansion of offline stores from East China to nationalization. By the end of 2019, the company had a total of 2792 (2429 direct stores and 363 franchise stores). There are more than 100 large and medium-sized cities across the country, with direct operating income of 3.06 billion yuan and franchise income of 190 million yuan in 19 years. This year, the company will speed up the expansion of franchise stores. On the one hand, it will go hand in hand with single-store franchise, regional franchise and strategic franchise; on the other hand, it will provide incentives and preferential policies for franchisees from all aspects such as brand, marketing, service, management, logistics supply chain, organization and IT system, and encourage high-quality franchisees to open more stores and good stores; at the same time, steadily promote the direct business model and strengthen brand image and loyalty.

Profit forecast and investment advice. After the adjustment of business thinking, the company is gradually on the right track, with the improvement of brand awareness, the acceleration of offline channel expansion, and the gradual emergence of scale effects. it is expected that the net profit level of the company will rise to a new level after 21 years. It is estimated that the revenue for 20-22 years will be 55.3,68.3 and 8.32 billion yuan respectively, the net profit will be 1.3,2.2 and 340 million yuan respectively, and the EPS will be 0.39,0.66 and 1.01 respectively. Taking into account the company's compound growth rate of more than 8.32 billion in the next three years and the valuation of similar companies, the 21-year PE will be 31 times and the corresponding target price for 21 years will be 20.50 yuan, maintaining the "recommended" rating.

Risk tips: direct store rents and labor costs have risen sharply, the progress of joining has been lower than expected, online growth has slowed down, raw material prices have risen, food safety issues, and so on.

The translation is provided by third-party software.


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