Investment highlights: Event: On July 7, the English-language national newspaper “China Daily” used a full-page article to discuss the situation where China may be developing a new long-range bomber, which may cost 105 billion US dollars over the next 15 years. Comment: Long-range strategic bombers are at the pole of the nuclear trinity. They are also a shortcoming in the combat capability of our military. They need to be developed urgently, benefiting large aircraft and engine manufacturers. The white paper “China's Military Strategy” clearly states that the air force strategy should shift from a territorial air defense type to a combination of attack and defense. We believe that the development of long-range strategic bombers is an inevitable direction for the development of air force equipment. Earlier, Hanhe Defense reported that China's development of long-range strategic bombers will use the new turbofan-18 aero engine, which will greatly benefit China's aircraft manufacturers and aero engine manufacturers. China's demand for aero engines in 20 years is nearly 3 trillion yuan. Demand for military use is growing explosively, and the space for civilian use is even wider. In the context of a comprehensive upgrade of China's military strategy, demand for military aero engines is showing explosive growth. We expect the demand for the next 20 years to be about 300 billion yuan, and the demand for supporting services is about 500 billion yuan. Considering the future demand for civil aero engines, the total demand for the next 20 years is close to 3 trillion yuan. The aero engine project is expected to be supported beyond expectations. The company is small in size, and the benefits will be greatest in the future. Developed countries are all investing huge sums of money in aero-engine research and development. China's two-aircraft project of over 100 billion dollars is expected to be introduced, and we estimate that the investment scale is expected to reach 300 billion yuan. Among the listed companies in the engine industry, the company is the smallest in size, and it should be a probable event that it receives a subsidy equal to or even higher in proportion to its size. The promotion effect of the project will be significant compared to other engine sector companies, and the company is expected to become the biggest beneficiary target of the project. The aero engine business is expected to experience explosive growth, and has the potential to become an important supplement to China's overall engine production capacity. The company's complete engine products are in the process of replacing old and new models, and new models are being developed rapidly. Demand for aero engines is exploding, driven by major projects in major aircraft countries and the strategic transformation needs of the air force. As one of the major engine manufacturers in China, the company is expected to become an important supplement to China's military aero engine production capacity. The demand for aero engines in the civilian sector is even greater, and the company's growth prospects are extremely broad. Compared to the other two companies in the engine sector, the market capitalization is seriously underestimated, and the flexibility is huge. There are three listed companies in the AVIC engine sector, with a market value of 66.8 billion yuan for Aerodynamics and a market value of 24.4 billion yuan for AVIC Control. We believe that as a potential important supplement to China's complete engine production capacity and the biggest beneficiary of the project in the future, the company's market capitalization of only 12.4 billion dollars is still clearly underestimated, and there is still huge room for market capitalization to grow. Earnings forecasts and ratings. The company's 2015-16 EPS is expected to be 0.32 or 0.53 yuan, and the corresponding sales volume per share in 2015 is 7.97 yuan. We judge that the company will be the most flexible type in the aero engine sector in the future, and the company announced on July 10 that management will increase its holdings by a total of 13,000 shares, demonstrating confidence, maintaining a six-month target price of 100 yuan, corresponding to the 12.5 times PS valuation, reaffirming our firm optimism and maintaining the “buy” rating. Risk warning. (1) Military orders have fluctuated greatly. (2) New product development and mass production are later than expected. (3) The world economy continues to decline, and the growth of foreign trade aviation business falls short of expectations. (4) Relevant policies were announced later than expected.
成发科技(600391):战略轰炸机带来新投资机遇
The translation is provided by third-party software.
The above content is for informational or educational purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice related to Futu. Although we strive to ensure the truthfulness, accuracy, and originality of all such content, we cannot guarantee it.
Risk Disclaimer
The above content is for informational or educational purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice related to Futu. Although we strive to ensure the truthfulness, accuracy, and originality of all such content, we cannot guarantee it.
Got it
Risk Disclaimer
The above content is for informational or educational purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice related to Futu. Although we strive to ensure the truthfulness, accuracy, and originality of all such content, we cannot guarantee it.
Got it
Write a comment
0 0 0
LikeLoveLaughing CryRespectEmmSadAngry
Tap to Select a Mood
- 分享到weixin
- 分享到qq
- 分享到facebook
- 分享到twitter
- 分享到微博
- 粘贴板
Use the share button in your browser
to share the page with your friends
Tap here to share
No comments yet. Write one.
Latest
18:32
According to the International Communications Agency citing the Kazakhstan National Oil Transportation Company, Kazakhstan plans to supply 0.127 million tons of oil to Germany through the Druzhba pipeline in January next year.
18:31
The Central Committee of the Communist Party of China and the State Council state that investment in Rural Revitalization should be based on efforts that can be made and capabilities, avoiding new local debt risks.
18:28
The Central Committee of the Communist Party of China and the State Council: Advance the pilot project for another 30 years after the expiration of the second round of land contracts in an orderly manner, and deepen the reform of the distribution of owner
Investment Course
Choose stocks based on financial reports
Quickly master financial season learning guidelines
When the financial season comes, company stock prices are the most likely to rise and fall, and many excellent investors will see the financial season as a good
In 【2024.11】, surged more than 0.04 million times, achieving the title of stock god Buffett! How do you view Berkshire's performance?
When it comes to legendary figures in the investment world, the name of Warren Buffett, the helm of Berkshire Hathaway, is definitely unavoidable. $Berkshire Ha
【November 2024】Has disney's predicament turned around? Pay attention to these 3 performance signals.
As the entertainment kingdom for nearly a century, Disney's status in Hollywood has gained prominence. Over 60 years of listing on the U.S. stock market, Disney
Statement
This page is machine-translated. Futubull tries to improve but does not guarantee the accuracy and reliability of the translation, and will not be liable for any loss or damage caused by any inaccuracy or omission of the translation.