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西安饮食(000721)中报点评:主业发展承压 积极推进转型

華泰證券 ·  Aug 18, 2015 00:00  · Researches

The company's performance in the first half of the year was in line with expectations: operating income was 239 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.76%; net loss attributable to listed companies was 3,619,900 yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 233.75%, mainly because in the first half of last year, the company received compensation of about 3,000 yuan for the demolition of a roast duck restaurant in Xi'an; net loss of 10.1567 million yuan, a sharp reduction of 13.962 million yuan; and EPS of -0.0073 yuan/share. The main business continued to be under pressure. Strict cost control during the transition period and the rise of popular restaurants led to a slow recovery of the industry. The company actively transformed, promoted takeout, small specialty stores, and popular consumer varieties, and broadened sales channels. Revenue and gross margin were affected to a certain extent. In the first half of the year, the company's food service revenue was 188 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 12.2%, and manufacturing (food) revenue was 221 million yuan, a decrease of 6.1% year-on-year. According to a comparable standard, the company's comprehensive gross margin increased by 4.03pp to 38.8%, mainly due to a 1.32 pp to 34.0% increase in food service gross margin and a 3.15 pp to 15.6% increase in manufacturing gross margin; the total cost ratio for the period fell by 1.83 pp to 37.8%, of which sales expenses decreased by 8.9% and the cost rate fell slightly by 1.06 pp; management expenses increased sharply by 11%, and the cost rate increased 1.08pp; the introduction of capital raised drastically reduced financial expenses by 107.1% to 312,000 yuan. The fixed increase was conditionally approved, and leapfrog development is expected. The company's plan to acquire 100% of the shares in the Beijing restaurant chain “Jiahe Yipin” for a non-public offering by the company was conditionally approved by the Securities Regulatory Commission in July. The company also signed a preliminary letter of intent for cooperation with the national coffee chain brand Diocaffe. In the future, management will vigorously promote capital operations, accelerate the pace of mergers and acquisitions, and achieve sustainable leapfrog development of the company. The investment proposal takes into account the comprehensive impact of the increase in distribution. We predict that the basic EPS of the Xi'an Diet for 15/16/17 will be 0.05/0.07/0.09 yuan, and the corresponding PE will be 181.5/141.8/105.8. Performance promises and related compensation clauses in the acquisition agreement are more stringent, and the reward clauses are more generous, reflecting better performance expectations. Under the slowing of the country's macroeconomic growth rate and the continuing effects of a series of measures such as the Eight Regulations and the implementation of savings, the restaurant industry has entered a new normal, and the company's main business continues to be under pressure. If profits from disposal of current assets are excluded, the profit side has already gone into a loss in 2014. In this regard, on the one hand, the company is actively promoting the transformation and adjustment of “popularization” of business, and on the other hand, it is seeking external expansion and integration of market resources, with a precise strategic direction. At the same time, the company is in a strategic region along the Belt and Road, and at the same time falls under the target of state-owned enterprise reform. It is recommended that active attention be paid to the extended M&A process. Give an increase in holdings rating. Risk warning: M&A target performance falls short of expectations; M&A process falls short of expectations; food safety issues.

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