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中化岩土(002542)中报点评:中报业绩平稳增长 民航传媒共同驱动

華泰證券 ·  Aug 9, 2016 00:00  · Researches

  The half-year performance maintained steady growth. Cash flow in the second quarter improved markedly. In the first half of 2016, the company achieved operating income of 924 million yuan, YOY +10.66%; realized net profit attributable to shareholders of the parent company of 78.81 million yuan, YOY +4.59%; net cash flow from operating activities - 137 million yuan, YOY -8.31%; and EPS was 0.05 yuan, in line with the same period last year. In the second quarter, the company achieved operating income of 494 million yuan, YOY +4.03%; net profit attributable to shareholders of the parent company of 43.88 million yuan, YOY +0.15%; net cash flow from operating activities of RMB 21.27 million, YOY +120%; and EPS of 0.03 yuan, YOY -25%. The company maintained steady and rapid growth in revenue and net profit, in line with our previous expectations. As the company's key projects continue to advance, it is expected that the company's performance will continue to improve in the second half of the year. The media sector contributed to performance. The gross margin of all main businesses increased in the first half of 2016, and the revenue of the company's various businesses, continuous underground walls, pile foundations, deep foundation pit support and other businesses was 1.61/2.29/2.02/1.77/155 million yuan, YOY -42%/-17%/+171%/-9%/+1296%, respectively. The company invested in the TV drama “Sea Shepherd” produced by Kyushu DreamWorks and is expected to bring in over 100 million yuan in revenue. The gross margins of each sector of the company were 34.40%, 25.20%, 14.02%, 28.29% and 14.89%, respectively. The gross margin of all businesses increased. Among them, the largest increase in gross margin of the dynamic business was 5.79%. Sales expenses, management expenses, and financial expenses were 7.98 million yuan, 9061 million, and 23.38 million yuan, respectively, YOY -1.40%/21.48%/40.09%. The sharp increase in financial expenses was due to the strong strength of the two subsidiaries and the increase in interest expenses on loans from afar. Building the first integrated domestic navigational airport construction and operation company as a pure navigable airport target has the absolute advantage of extending from rock underground engineering to airport infrastructure. The company plans to invest in the construction of 50-100 navigable airports over the next 5 years. Based on a single unit estimate of 200 million yuan, it can reach 10-20 billion yuan. The net profit rate for the construction process is more than 20%, the operating process is about 10%, and the total net profit of the company will be increased by 3 to 6 billion yuan. The company plans to increase profits through asset securitization to package and return capital to general aviation airports in advance, or refer to BBA to extend to the back end of the industry chain such as airport service operations, official commercial flights, and pilot training through acquisitions and new installations. There is plenty of room for imagination. Anji Airport is expected to be completed in August, apply for a license at the end of the year, and the operation side is expected to be implemented at an accelerated pace. Profit Forecast and Investment Advising Company's main geotechnical business profit is estimated at 345 million yuan and IP media business profit is estimated at 25 million yuan. The total market value of the two is 16.5-18.4 billion yuan, the reasonable secondary market price range is 9.46-10.52 yuan (corresponding to 33-38 times PE in '17), and the first target price is 10 yuan, maintaining the “buy” rating. Risk warning: General aviation business expansion falls short of expectations; integrated acquisitions in the geotechnical industry fall short of expectations; accounts receivable cannot be recovered risk.

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