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麦达数字(002137)年报点评:数字营销增长稳定 SAAS业务静待爆发

興業證券 ·  Mar 28, 2017 00:00  · Researches

Key investment events: The company released its 2016 annual report. Review: The digital marketing business is growing steadily. 1) The company achieved operating income of 799 million yuan in 2016, an increase of 91% over the previous year; realized net profit of 150 million yuan, an increase of 725% over the previous year, of which the sale of subsidiary Yuantong Incubation contributed 108 million yuan in net profit; in line with our and the market's expectations. 2) The company's three digital marketing companies, Shunwei Advertising, Qizi Advertising, and Shanghai Lixuan, achieved net profit of 3504 (minus 3337), 2435, and 13.16 million yuan respectively. The completion of performance promises was 108% (not 103%), 104%, and 101%, respectively, and achieved steady growth. The SaaS business is just waiting to explode. In 2016, in January and May, the company invested separately in leading SaaS service companies in the consumer goods industry to win marketing, and the leading enterprise in the SCRM segment; in August, it reached a strategic cooperation with Yixin Vision, a research media agency in the SaaS field; Qiao Xin, the actual controller of the company, reached a cooperation framework agreement with Fengyuan Capital in December to jointly initiate the establishment of an industrial merger and acquisition fund with a scale of not less than 500 million yuan. The investment direction is mainly in the fields of enterprise services, cloud computing and big data. The company's layout in SaaS enterprise-grade services has not stopped, and it is looking forward to an explosion in the future. Earnings forecasts and ratings. We expect Maida Digital's net profit for 2017/18/19 to be 0.81/0.97/113 million yuan, EPS to be 0.14/0.17/0.20 yuan, corresponding to the current stock price PE of 89/73/63 times. In the future, the company will rely on “data+technology” to drive endogenous growth, and at the same time continue to expand in the direction of digital marketing and enterprise-level digital services, aiming to build a first-class domestic enterprise-level SaaS platform company. We are optimistic about the company's layout in the enterprise-level SaaS service industry and maintain an “accumulation” rating. Risk warning: The acquisition fell short of expectations; SaaS implementation fell short of expectations.

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