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【华融证券】海南海药跟踪点评:实际控制人要约收购,信心十足

[Huarong Securities] Hainan Haiyao follow-up comments: the actual controller offers to purchase, full of confidence

華融證券 ·  Mar 14, 2017 00:00  · Researches

Event

Liu Xicheng, the actual controller, voluntarily launched an offer to acquire 133 million shares. The scope of the offer is 10% of the total share capital except the shares held by Nanfang Tongzheng, accounting for 10% of the total share capital. The offer price is 14.5 yuan per share, and the capital required is 1.94 billion yuan. The duration of the offer is 30 natural days, that is, 30 natural days from the first trading day when the full report of the offer is announced.

The price of this offer is higher than the market price, demonstrating the confidence of major shareholders.

The company completed the private placement in September 2016 at a price of 12.23 yuan per share, and the major shareholder, Nantong, is subscribing for 1.6 billion yuan, with participation in more than 50% of the additional shares, and locked up for three years. After half a year, the actual controller offered 14.5 yuan per share higher than the market price, and the acquisition ratio was 10%, which further enhanced the control over marine pharmaceuticals, indicating that the major shareholders are full of confidence in the future development of the company.

Bidding price reduction erodes the profits of the original business, and Internet medical care opens a new chapter.

The company's existing products are mainly concentrated in chemical API intermediates, cephalosporins and gastrointestinal drugs, the competition is fierce, in order to maintain the market, the expense rate is high, which greatly erodes profits. According to the disclosure of sub-products in the China News, the income of cephalosporin preparations was 206 million yuan, up 9.76% from the same period last year; the income from intermediates of chemical raw materials was 248 million yuan, down 17.68% from the same period last year; and that of gastrointestinal drugs was 119 million yuan, up 12.45% from the same period last year. The company strives to seek a breakthrough, increase the layout of the medical field, acquire 51% of the shares in the East Hospital of Chenzhou first people's Hospital, and bid for 100% of Ezhou Hospital. Although the short-term performance is difficult to improve greatly, the fundamentals of the company are developing in a good direction.

Investment strategy

We expect earnings per share from 2016 to 2018 to be 0.1,0.13 and 0.15 yuan respectively, corresponding to 149,112 and 95 times PE, respectively, with a "recommended" rating.

Risk hint

Policy risk; new product research and development risk; medical safety incident, etc.

The translation is provided by third-party software.


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