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【广发证券】盐田港:政策影响将逐步消除,投资收益将逐步改善

[GF Securities Co., LTD.] Yantian Port: the impact of policy will be gradually eliminated and the return on investment will be gradually improved.

廣發證券 ·  Aug 21, 2013 00:00  · Researches

From January to June 2013, the company realized operating income of 143 million yuan (- 10.99%), gross profit of 84 million yuan (- 14.7%), investment income of 155 million yuan (+ 2.4%), and net profit of 182 million yuan (+ 1.22%) belonging to shareholders of listed companies. Realize EPS0.0937 yuan per share (0.0926 yuan per share in the same period).

In the first half of the year, the main business income declined under the influence of the policy, and in the second half of the year, it is expected that the decline in main business income and gross profit will mainly come from the Huiyan Expressway which is still affected by the policy. The reduction of road tolls by the government since June 1, 2012 and the implementation of the policy of waiving minibus tolls on major holidays since the National Day of 2012 have led to a 17.13% year-on-year drop in revenue from the Huiyan Expressway. The charging policy in the second half of the year is the same as that of last year, and the year-on-year decline is expected to be reversed.

The increase in investment income over the same period last year was mainly due to the faster growth of shares in bulk terminals. Caofeidian Port Company completed cargo throughput of 35.58 million tons in the first half of 2013, an increase of 51.42% over the same period last year, mainly due to iron ore products. The company achieved an investment income of 42 million yuan, an increase of 2g% over the same period last year, which is the main source of the company's investment income growth.

Weak demand growth and rising costs have led to a decline in investment returns in container ports. From January to June 2013, the company's investment income from Yantian International Terminal decreased by 2.84% compared with the same period last year.

It is expected that the future performance will continue to improve compared with the previous month.

(1) continuous improvement in quarter-on-quarter. The company's net profit in the second quarter improved by 30% compared with the first quarter. The main reason is that the container throughput and the month-on-month increase in China's iron ore imports have led to an improvement in the income of the participating companies, resulting in a 28% increase in investment income. The third quarter is the peak season of container exports, the bulk cargo throughput has increased steadily under the guidance of China's stable growth policy, and the company's performance in the third quarter will be further improved compared with the previous quarter! (2) the performance from 2014 to 2015 has improved year by year. The main investment income of the company comes from Yantian container port. With the recovery of PMI and consumer information index in Europe and the United States, especially in Europe, container throughput is expected to recover further from 2014 to 2015.

We expect the results in 13-15 to be 0.19 yuan per share, 0.20 yuan per share and 0.22 yuan per share respectively.

Risk hint: economic downside risks, further increase in labor costs

The translation is provided by third-party software.


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