隐含波动率(IV)是对一支股票年内价格变动的预估,反映投资者对未来价格波动程度的预期,是期权定价的关键因素。股票隐含波动率高,表示市场情绪较极端,价格波动较大,不确定性就大;反之,波动率低表示市场预期价格波动较小,不确定性较小。
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一、个股隐含波动率(IV)异动榜
周三隐含波动率较高的个股为$维视图像(MVIS.US)$、$FibroGen(FGEN.US)$、$PacWest Bancorp(PACW.US)$等。
近期,伊坎企业成为做空机构兴登堡的目标,市值已蒸发约60亿美元。对冲基金大鳄阿克曼发了一条长推文,称伊坎企业的情况让他想起了2021年Archegos爆仓事件。
他指出,伊坎企业的溢价一直是由高股息收益率维持的,收益是通过向外部股东返还资本产生的,而这些资金反过来又来自公司向投资者出售股票。并表示:IEP的业绩历史和治理结构不足以证明溢价是合理的;相反,它们暗示对其资产净值进行大幅折让是合适的。
二、期权隐含波动率涨幅TOP10
三、风险提示
期权是一种合约,赋予持有人在某一特定日期或该日之前的任何时间以固定价格购进或售出一种资产的权利,但不承担义务。期权的价格受多种因素影响,包括标的资产的当前价格、行使价、到期时间和隐含波动率。
隐含波动率反映了市场对期权未来一段时间内的波动预期,它是由期权BS定价模型反推出来的数据,一般将它视为市场情绪的指标。当投资者预期更大的波动性时,他们可能更愿意为期权支付更高的价格以帮助对冲风险,从而导致更高的隐含波动率。
交易员和投资者使用隐含波动率来评估期权价格的吸引力,识别潜在的错误定价,并管理风险敞口。
四、免责声明
本内容不构成任何证券、金融产品或工具要约、招揽、建议、意见或任何保证。买卖期权的亏蚀风险可以极大。在若干情况下,你所蒙受的亏蚀可能会超过最初存入的保证金数额。即使你设定了备用指示,例如“止蚀”或“限价”等指示,亦未必能够避免损失。市场情况可能使该等指示无法执行。你可能会在短时间内被要求存入额外的保证金。假如未能在指定的时间内提供所需数额,你的未平仓合约可能会被平仓。然而,你仍然要对你的帐户内任何因此而出现的短欠数额负责。因此,你在买卖前应研究及理解期权,以及根据本身的财政状况及投资目标,仔细考虑这种买卖是否适合你。如果你买卖期权,便应熟悉行使期权及期权到期时的程式,以及你在行使期权及期权到期时的权利与责任。
编辑/Somer
Implied volatility (IV) is an estimate of a stock's price change during the year. It reflects investors' expectations about the extent of future price fluctuations, and is a key factor in option pricing. The implied volatility of stocks is high, which indicates that market sentiment is extreme. Higher price fluctuations mean greater uncertainty; conversely, low volatility indicates that the market expects less price fluctuations and less uncertainty.
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I. Implied Volatility of Individual Stocks (IV) Change List
What are the individual stocks with the highest implied volatility on Wednesday$Microvision(MVIS.US)$,$FibroGen(FGEN.US)$,$PacWest Bancorp(PACW.US)$etc.
$Microvision(MVIS.US)$Stock prices have doubled this month, and overnight implied volatility soared 90% to 212% close to a one-year high.The number of options traded was close to 17,000. Call options that expired on June 2 and had an exercise price of 4 US dollars had the highest trading volume, 5,940.
biopharmaceutical companies$FibroGen(FGEN.US)$Implied volatility continues to rise, rising more than 7% yesterday to its highest level in a year.Earlier, the company stated that it intends to apply to the relevant regulatory authorities for the new range of indications for the new anemia drug roxadustat (roxadustat).
A sharp drop of nearly 50% during the month!$Icahn Enterprises(IEP.US)$Overnight, implied volatility rose more than 35%, close to its highest level in a year.
Recently, Icahn Enterprise became the target of the shorting agency Hindenburg, and its market capitalization has evaporated to about 6 billion US dollars. Hedge fund mogul Ackman posted a long tweet saying that Icahn's situation reminded him of the 2021 Archegos hold-up incident.
He pointed out that Icahn's premium has always been maintained by a high dividend yield. The income is generated by returning capital to external shareholders, and this capital in turn comes from the company's stock sales to investors. It also stated that the IEP's performance history and governance structure are insufficient to justify the premium; on the contrary, they suggest that it is appropriate to make a substantial discount on its net asset value.
II. Top 10 increases in implied volatility of options
III. Risk Reminder
An option is a contract that gives a holder the right, but no obligation, to buy or sell an asset at a fixed price on or at any time prior to that date. The price of an option is affected by a number of factors, including the underlying asset's current price, exercise price, expiration time, and implied volatility.
The implied volatility reflects the market's expectations for options to fluctuate over a period of time to come. It is data inverted by the options BS pricing model, and is generally viewed as an indicator of market sentiment. When investors anticipate greater volatility, they may be more willing to pay higher options to help hedge risks, leading to higher implied volatility.
Traders and investors use implied volatility to assess the appeal of option prices, identify potential mispricing, and manage risk exposure.
IV. Disclaimer
This content does not constitute an offer, solicitation, recommendation, opinion or guarantee of any securities, financial products or instruments. The risk of losing money when trading options can be extremely high. In some cases, you may lose more than the amount of your initial deposit. Even if you set backup instructions, such as “stop corrosion” or “limit price” instructions, you may not be able to avoid losses. Market conditions may make such instructions unenforceable. You may be asked to deposit an additional security deposit within a short period of time. If you fail to provide the required amount within the specified time, your open positions may be closed. However, you are still responsible for any shortfall in your account as a result. Therefore, you should study and understand options before trading, and carefully consider whether this type of trading is suitable for you based on your financial situation and investment goals. If you trade options, you should be familiar with the procedures for exercising options and when they expire, as well as your rights and responsibilities when you exercise options and when they expire.
Editor/Somer