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以史为鉴,感恩节当周美股哪些板块和个股表现最亮眼?

Taking history as a mirror, which sectors and stocks have the brightest performance in the week of Thanksgiving?

Futu News ·  Nov 22, 2022 18:00

U. S. stocks will be closed on Thursday (November 24) and three hours early on Friday (November 25) because of the Thanksgiving holiday. Although the trading time is shorter, U. S. stocks usually rise in the week of Thanksgiving.

Over the past 50 years, the S & P 500 has risen an average of 0.54% in the Thanksgiving week, with a 68% chance of rising.By contrast, the average increase in other weeks is 0.16%, with a probability of 56%.

Historically, over the past 50 years, during the week of Thanksgiving, Monday has been more likely to fall than rise. There is a 62% chance that it will rise on Tuesday, with an average slight decline.The day before Thanksgiving and the day after Thanksgiving are the outstanding performers of the week.The S & P 500 has a 78% chance of rising on the Wednesday before Thanksgiving, with an average increase of 0.3%. The average return on the day after Thanksgiving was 0.22%, and there was a 66% chance of an increase. It is also worth noting that volatility was significantly lower than normal during the Thanksgiving week except Monday.

In terms of industryOver the past decade, the industries with the highest average returns in the Thanksgiving week include:Household goods and construction, auto parts, tourism and leisure, technical hardware and equipment, beverages, personal items, food manufacturers, health care, retailers, medicine and grocery stores等。

Among them, as Thanksgiving begins the travel and holiday shopping season, travel and leisure, personal goods and retailers are more likely to benefit directly.

Meanwhile, at this time of yearOil stocks and public utilities stocksAre not welcome. So some investors will consider shorting one of the industries or stocks in it.

Individual stocksHere is a list of the best performers in the S & P 500 during the Thanksgiving week of the past decade.$Kimberly-Clark (KMB.US)$Topped the list and performed well during Thanksgiving in each of the past 10 years. Other personal care stocks are also on the list, including$Church & Dwight (CHD.US)$$Clorox (CLX.US)$

The figure above is sorted by rising probability and then by average return.

In addition, here are the last 10 years of ThanksgivingThe worst performing stocks, most of which are energy companies

Edit / lydia

The translation is provided by third-party software.


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