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郭家耀: 港股尋底格局或下試17,500 平安(02318.HK)下行空間料不大

Guo Jiayao: Hong Kong stock market bottom pattern or downside test 17500 Ping an (02318.HK) downside short bet is not expected.

財星評論 ·  Sep 23, 2022 09:30

Guo Jiayao, general manager of Amway assets Management, said that US stocks continued to decline on Thursday (22nd), and US long-term interest rates continued to rise, which was not conducive to the performance of the big market, and all three major indices closed down. The US dollar rose first and then returned, the US 10-year interest rate rose to 3.70 per cent, the gold price was repeatedly skewed, and the low oil price was slightly reversed. Hong Kong stock market forecast bonds generally fell, and the market is expected to open lower in the early part of the market.

The mainland stock market fell yesterday, with stocks closing down 0.3%, while trading in Shenzhen continued to be depressed.

The trend of Hong Kong stocks was weak, with the index falling below 18000 points at one point, the decline narrowed slightly at the end of the day, and trading in the big market remained light. The market atmosphere is in the doldrums, the index continues to hit bottom, there is a chance to test the level at 17500 points, and the upper resistance is around 18500 points.

In addition, the total income of China Ping an (02318.HK) in the first half of the year fell 2.9% to 667.6 billion yuan (the same below), while its profit rose 3.9% to 60.27 billion yuan. In the first half of the year, the value of new services for housing and health services was 19.57 billion yuan, down 28.5 percent year-on-year; the included value was 906.619 billion yuan, an increase of 3.4 percent at the end of last year. The operating profit of property insurance was 8.38 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 22.3%. In terms of agency channel reform, the plan is expected to be fully implemented this year. At present, about 65% of the agent networks have implemented a new sales management system. It is expected that the positive effect of the new system on sales will be gradually realized in the next 12 to 18 months. Ping an's plan to enhance the production capacity of agents will help promote the sale of long-term storage products, which is conducive to the growth of new business value. However, at present, there is uncertainty in the new operating table, and the downward dividend and volatility in this city are not conducive to the valuation of Ping an, but according to the test, the relative inclusion ratio of stocks has fallen to 0.5 times, and there is not much room for further downside.

(by the licensee of the certification supervision committee, I and the related person do not hold the above shares) ~

The translation is provided by third-party software.


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