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FibroGen, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:FGEN) Stock Has Plunged to US$12.87, but Insiders May Have Sold Too Soon at an Even Lower Price of US$11.58

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 1, 2022 02:30

Even though FibroGen, Inc. (NASDAQ:FGEN) has fallen by 5.9% over the past week , insiders who sold US$152k worth of stock over the past year have had less luck. Insiders would probably have been better off holding on to their shares given that the average selling price of US$11.58 is still lower than the current share price.

While we would never suggest that investors should base their decisions solely on what the directors of a company have been doing, logic dictates you should pay some attention to whether insiders are buying or selling shares.

View our latest analysis for FibroGen

FibroGen Insider Transactions Over The Last Year

In the last twelve months, the biggest single sale by an insider was when the insider, Thomas Kearns, sold US$152k worth of shares at a price of US$11.58 per share. That means that an insider was selling shares at slightly below the current price (US$12.87). When an insider sells below the current price, it suggests that they considered that lower price to be fair. That makes us wonder what they think of the (higher) recent valuation. Please do note, however, that sellers may have a variety of reasons for selling, so we don't know for sure what they think of the stock price. This single sale was just 5.1% of Thomas Kearns's stake. Thomas Kearns was the only individual insider to sell shares in the last twelve months.

The chart below shows insider transactions (by companies and individuals) over the last year. If you click on the chart, you can see all the individual transactions, including the share price, individual, and the date!

insider-trading-volumeNasdaqGS:FGEN Insider Trading Volume August 31st 2022

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Insider Ownership Of FibroGen

I like to look at how many shares insiders own in a company, to help inform my view of how aligned they are with insiders. Usually, the higher the insider ownership, the more likely it is that insiders will be incentivised to build the company for the long term. FibroGen insiders own about US$18m worth of shares. That equates to 1.5% of the company. We've certainly seen higher levels of insider ownership elsewhere, but these holdings are enough to suggest alignment between insiders and the other shareholders.

What Might The Insider Transactions At FibroGen Tell Us?

It doesn't really mean much that no insider has traded FibroGen shares in the last quarter. Our analysis of FibroGen insider transactions leaves us cautious. But we do like the fact that insiders own a fair chunk of the company. So while it's helpful to know what insiders are doing in terms of buying or selling, it's also helpful to know the risks that a particular company is facing. While conducting our analysis, we found that FibroGen has 1 warning sign and it would be unwise to ignore it.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies.

For the purposes of this article, insiders are those individuals who report their transactions to the relevant regulatory body. We currently account for open market transactions and private dispositions, but not derivative transactions.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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