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Even after rising 95% this past week, F-star Therapeutics (NASDAQ:FSTX) shareholders are still down 28% over the past year

Simply Wall St ·  Jun 25, 2022 01:47

Over the last month the F-star Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:FSTX) has been much stronger than before, rebounding by 147%. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last year have been less than pleasing. After all, the share price is down 28% in the last year, significantly under-performing the market.

While the last year has been tough for F-star Therapeutics shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.

View our latest analysis for F-star Therapeutics

Because F-star Therapeutics made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually expect strong revenue growth. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.

In the last twelve months, F-star Therapeutics increased its revenue by 62%. That's a strong result which is better than most other loss making companies. Given the revenue growth, the share price drop of 28% seems quite harsh. Our sympathies to shareholders who are now underwater. Prima facie, revenue growth like that should be a good thing, so it's worth checking whether losses have stabilized. Our monkey brains haven't evolved to think exponentially, so humans do tend to underestimate companies that have exponential growth.

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

NasdaqCM:FSTX Earnings and Revenue Growth June 24th 2022

Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

A Different Perspective

F-star Therapeutics shareholders are down 28% for the year, even worse than the market loss of 19%. That's disappointing, but it's worth keeping in mind that the market-wide selling wouldn't have helped. It's great to see a nice little 63% rebound in the last three months. Let's just hope this isn't the widely-feared 'dead cat bounce' (which would indicate further declines to come). I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with F-star Therapeutics (at least 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course F-star Therapeutics may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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