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美亿万富翁警告脱碳步伐别太快:欧洲能源危机就是前车之鉴
Us billionaire warns not to decarbonize too fast: European energy crisis is a warning

新浪美股 ·  {{timeTz}}

美国传奇对冲基金经理、Centaurus能源对冲基金创始人约翰·阿诺德(John Arnold)最近警告称,如果美国过快地放弃化石燃料,可能很快就会遭遇目前在欧洲引发混乱的那种能源价格大幅飙升。

John Arnold, the legendary US hedge fund manager and founder of the Centaurus energy hedge fund, recently warned that if the US abandons fossil fuels too quickly, it could soon suffer a surge in energy prices of the kind that is causing chaos in Europe.

阿诺德上周末在社交媒体上发帖称,“一些人扼杀油气行业的努力将导致能源价格飙升,可能会失去选民对能源转型的支持。”

"the efforts of some people to stifle the oil and gas industry will lead to a surge in energy prices and may lose voter support for the energy transformation," Arnold said in a post on social media over the weekend. "

他写道:“欧洲的能源危机敲响了警钟,美国必须确保向脱碳的平稳过渡。”

"the energy crisis in Europe is a wake-up call, and the United States must ensure a smooth transition to decarbonization," he wrote. "

近几个月来,随着各国政府放松疫情限制,能源需求迅速反弹,欧洲天然气价格飙升。漫长的冬季和来自亚洲的强劲需求也耗尽了供应。

In recent months, as governments relax restrictions on the epidemic, energy demand has rebounded rapidly and natural gas prices in Europe have soared. The long winter and strong demand from Asia have also exhausted supply.

推动能源价格上涨的另一个关键因素是可再生能源生产的放缓,英国北海的风力不足减少了风力发电。

Another key factor driving up energy prices is the slowdown in renewable energy production, which has been reduced by a lack of wind power in the North Sea.

阿诺德说,欧洲的经验为美国提供了教训,在可再生能源基础设施可能无法弥补短缺之际,从石油和天然气的迅速转移可能会造成破坏性影响。

Mr. Arnold said the European experience taught the United States that a rapid shift from oil and gas could have a damaging impact at a time when renewable energy infrastructure may not be able to make up for the shortfall.

他说:“尽管有些人主张尽快摧毁化石燃料行业,但现实情况是,在任何脱碳方案中,石油和天然气的消费量都将在这十年居高不下。清洁能源增长迅速,但基础很低。”

"while some people advocate destroying the fossil fuel industry as soon as possible, the reality is that in any decarbonization plan, oil and gas consumption will remain high for this decade," he said. Clean energy is growing rapidly, but with a low base. "

“非常高的石油/天然气价格可能会引发(美国)选民对脱碳政策的强烈反对,而脱碳政策对更清洁的未来至关重要。”

"very high oil / gas prices could trigger strong voter opposition to decarbonization policies, which are essential for a cleaner future."

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