原标题：欧洲天然气飙升250%，英国供应商面临倒闭！机构暗示噩梦还没完
今年迄今为止欧洲地区的天然气价格迅速飙升250%，其中英国受到的冲击尤其大。业内人士警告称，随着欧洲各国都在努力应对电力行业的一场前所未有的危机，英国能源行业可能面临重大变革。不幸的是，国际能源署和高盛都预测，天然气价格未来还要涨。
欧洲天然气价格飙升，英国供应商面临破产危机
作为欧洲天然气交易的基准，荷兰TTF中心的天然气价格周一上涨至每兆瓦时73.150欧，徘徊在上周的历史高点附近。自1月份以来，天然气价格已经上涨了250%以上。
Cornwall Insight的关系和发展主管 Robert Buckley称，这场危机是由能源供应商无法控制的的因素造成的。这些因素包括欧洲和亚洲之间天然气输送的激烈竞争，美国生产设施的一些故障和欧盟碳市场规则的收紧等。
英国能源供应商 Utilita Energy的创始人 Bill Bullen 警告称，天然气批发价格的飙升将不可避免地导致能源行业出现更多的破产。
他在周一的电子邮件中说：“按照这样的速度，我们将回到寡头垄断的状态，行业向后倒退。”
英国天然气和电力市场能源监管机构 （ Ofgem ） 的一位发言人在一份电子邮件声明中表示：“这是一个全球性的问题，我们正在与政府密切合作，以管理全球天然气价格上涨的广泛影响。”
欧洲各国政府都渴望采取行动，阻止危机对消费者造成过大的冲击。据当地媒体报道，英国政府正在考虑为能源供应商提供救助贷款。据彭报道，英国首相约翰逊试图让公众放心，他将能源定价危机描述为 “暂时的”。英国对能源供应商能够向消费者收取多少费用有限制，政府每六个月对价格上限进行一次审查。
英国商务大臣Kwasi Kwarteng已与多家能源供应商召开紧急会议，商讨如何帮助供应商应对创纪录的天然气价格带来的困境，确保英国今冬能稳定供气。
市场分析称，目前情况下，未来7到10天，英国可能将至少有4家供应商因为财务原因退出市场。
天然气成本“日新月异”，但售价却受到限制，让供应商们苦不堪。
欧亚集团（ Eurasia Group ） 是一家政治风险咨询公司。它在周一的一份说明中警告说，欧洲大陆飙升的能源价格已经对欧洲地区产生地缘政治影响。西班牙政府本周发布了一项限制能源零售价格的法令。欧亚集团分析师推测，如果更多的欧盟成员国模仿西班牙，将廉价能源置于绿色转型之上，欧盟作为气候领导者的信誉可能会受到损害。
欧亚集团在周一的报告中说：“如果马德里的行动在这个冬天有其他模仿者，那么欧盟在11月份举行的全球会谈中推动气候行动的努力可能会受到影响。”
欧洲天然气未来可能还要涨
不过英国的噩梦还远未结束，因为不少机构预测未来天然气价格可能继续上涨。
国际能源署执行主任Fatih Birol上周五在接受时表示，随着欧洲供暖季节的开始，欧洲天然气价格在未来几周可能会持续走高。
Birol还指出，强劲的需求是推动天然气价格上涨的一个驱动因素；与此同时，来自俄罗斯的供应减少，俄罗斯未能在供暖季节到来之前及时补充欧洲的天然气库存。
高盛在最新研报中也预计，未来几个月欧洲天然气供需紧张有望进一步加剧，整个欧洲将面临停电的风险。
Original title: European natural gas soars 250%, British suppliers face closure! The agency hinted that the nightmare is not over.
Natural gas prices in Europe have soared 250 per cent so far this year, with the UK particularly hard hit. The UK energy industry could face major changes as European countries grapple with an unprecedented crisis in the power sector, industry insiders have warned. Unfortunately, both the International Energy Agency and Goldman Sachs Group predict that natural gas prices will rise in the future.
European natural gas prices soar and British suppliers face bankruptcy crisis
Natural gas prices at the TTF centre in the Netherlands, the benchmark for European gas trading, rose to 73.150 euros per megawatt hour on Monday, hovering near last week's all-time high. Natural gas prices have risen by more than 250% since January.
Robert Buckley, head of relations and development at Cornwall Insight, said the crisis was caused by factors beyond the control of energy suppliers. These factors include fierce competition for natural gas transportation between Europe and Asia, some failures in US production facilities and the tightening of EU carbon market rules.
Bill Bullen, founder of Utilita Energy, the UK energy supplier, warned that the surge in wholesale natural gas prices would inevitably lead to more bankruptcies in the energy industry.
"at this rate, we will return to an oligopoly and the industry will go backwards," he said in an email on Monday. "
"this is a global problem and we are working closely with the government to manage the wide-ranging impact of rising global natural gas prices," a spokesman for Ofgem, the UK's gas and electricity market regulator, said in an emailed statement.
European governments are eager to take action to prevent the crisis from hitting consumers too much. The British government is considering providing relief loans to energy suppliers, according to local media reports. According to Peng, British Prime Minister Johnson tried to reassure the public that he described the energy pricing crisis as "temporary". There are limits on how much energy suppliers can charge consumers, and the government reviews the price ceiling every six months.
Kwasi Kwarteng, the UK business secretary, has held emergency meetings with a number of energy suppliers to discuss how to help them cope with record natural gas prices and ensure a stable supply of gas to the UK this winter.
Market analysis said that under the current circumstances, in the next 7 to 10 days, at least four suppliers in the UK are likely to withdraw from the market for financial reasons.
The cost of natural gas is "changing with each passing day", but the price is limited, making suppliers miserable.
Eurasia GroupEurasia Group) is a political risk consulting firm. In a note on Monday, it warned that soaring energy prices on the continent had had a geopolitical impact on the region. The Spanish government issued a decree this week to limit retail energy prices. Analysts at Eurasia Group speculate that the EU's credibility as a climate leader could be damaged if more EU member states emulate Spain and put cheap energy above a green transition.
"if there are other imitators of Madrid's actions this winter, then the EU's efforts to promote climate action at global talks in November may be affected," the Eurasian Group said in a report on Monday. "
Natural gas in Europe may rise in the future.
But Britain's nightmare is far from over, as many institutions predict that natural gas prices may continue to rise in the future.
Fatih Birol, executive director of the International Energy Agency, said in acceptance on Friday that European natural gas prices are likely to continue to rise in the coming weeks as the European heating season begins.
Birol also pointed to strong demand as a driver of higher natural gas prices, while supply from Russia fell and Russia failed to replenish Europe's natural gas stocks in time before the heating season.
Goldman Sachs Group also predicted in the latest research report that the tension between supply and demand of natural gas in Europe is expected to further intensify in the next few months, and the whole of Europe will face the risk of power outages.
