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高盛:“来港易””计划将于9月15日开始 料零售业复苏将是渐进的

Goldman Sachs Group: the "easy to come to Hong Kong" program will begin on September 15. It is expected that the recovery of the retail industry will be gradual.

格隆滙 ·  Sep 9, 2021 15:26

Goldman Sachs Group published a research report saying that the Hong Kong government has pushed back. "It is easy to return to Hong Kong"Plan, make the mostDaily6000 Hong Kong people returning from the mainland do not need to be quarantined for 14 days; in addition, "It is easy to come to Hong Kong"the scheme will also start on September 15 to allow 2000 mainland residents to come to Hong Kong without isolation every day. The bank believes that it is easy for mainland residents to come to Hong Kong.After arriving in Hong Kong, they still need to be quarantined when they return to the mainland. therefore, it is considered that most people who come to Hong Kong through this scheme will stay in Hong Kong for a period of time, not tourists.

* even if the recovery after the switch will be gradual *

Goldman Sachs pointed out that the daily number of mainland residents visiting Hong Kong before the epidemic reached 133000, and the 2000 places for "easy entry to Hong Kong" accounted for only about 2 per cent. The bank also pointed out that the full opening of the border is not imminent and depends on the development of the epidemic in Hong Kong, Macao and Guangdong Province. even after the switch, it is considered that the recovery of the retail industry in the mainland and Hong Kong will be gradual. As for local property companies, the bank believes that Wharf Real Estate Investment (1997.HK) and 0014.HK will benefit more from the recovery in mainland visitors, as the two companies account for 62 per cent and 30 per cent of retail rental revenue from fashion and accessories respectively, and 20 per cent for health and beauty respectively, although the recovery after the switch is also gradual.

* the current price of betting stocks has reflected that the recovery is not as good as expected.

With regard to the Macao gaming industry, the bank believes that the current share prices of Hao betting stocks have reflected the recovery of gambling revenues and the limited relaxation of travel restrictions, and there are no structural problems in the industry that have prevented the industry from recovering or even surpassing the original level. The bank gave it to Galaxy Entertainment,Sands China, Xinhao Boya "Buy"rated and given to SJM Holdings"Be sure to buyRating.

The translation is provided by third-party software.


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