Severe divergence in USA economic data has led to a debate about whether the anxiety caused by Trump's trade policies will push the slowing economy into a severe downturn. Surveys known as 'soft data' that measure household and business confidence warn that as Trump advances his trade policy and significantly cuts federal spending, the economy will obviously slow down in the future. However, 'hard data' from government statistics on employment and manufacturing suggests that concerns about potential stagflation or even recession may be overblown. These mixed signals have made both Washington and Wall Street uneasy about the USA's prospects. In just a few weeks, the USA has turned from the global economic leader to the largest source of uncertainty globally. This week, Federal Reserve officials lowered their forecasts for the annual economic growth rate by the largest margin since 2022, while the OECD stated that USA's trade policies will lead to a slowdown in global growth.
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美国经济到底会走向何方 分化的数据引发激烈辩论
What direction will the USA economy ultimately take? The diverging data has sparked intense debate.
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