European Central Bank President Lagarde spoke at a hearing of the European Parliament's Economic and Monetary Affairs Committee. Lagarde stated that the new government in the USA has initiated a new domestic and foreign policy. This will have a profound impact on the Global economy and political landscape, forcing Europe to confront longstanding challenges and new challenges in trade, economic competitiveness, and defense. Analysis from the European Central Bank indicates that a 25% tariff imposed by the USA on Commodities imported from Europe will lower Eurozone growth by about 0.3 percentage points in the first year. If Europe responds by increasing tariffs on USA imports, this percentage will rise to approximately 0.5 percentage points. The shock to economic growth will be concentrated in the first year after the tariff increase; over time, the impact will gradually diminish, but there will be a lasting negative effect on output levels. In this scenario, the inflation outlook will become more uncertain. In the short term, the EU's retaliatory measures and the depreciation of the Euro exchange rates—resulting from a decline in demand for European products caused by the USA—could push inflation rates higher by about 0.5 percentage points. Since lowered economic activity dampens inflationary pressures, this impact will alleviate in the medium term.
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拉加德:美国关税将在第一年拖累欧元区GDP约0.3个百分点
Lagarde: Tariffs from the USA will drag down the Eurozone's GDP by about 0.3 percentage points in the first year.
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