TD Bank's economic team expects Canada to enter a so-called "mild" recession starting in the second quarter. Their quarterly forecast assumes that the Trump administration will impose high tariffs of up to 25% on Canadian imports starting in April, which will last for six months and then be gradually reduced through negotiations. TD Bank stated that the economic losses caused by weak Consumer and business investment will be partially offset by fiscal support from the Canadian government, such as providing 6.5 billion CAD in low-cost financing to export-oriented businesses. The institution predicts that the annualized GDP in the second quarter will decrease by 1%, and in the third quarter it will slightly decline by 0.2%.
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道明证券:加拿大将因关税影响出现轻度衰退
TD Securities: Canada is expected to experience a mild recession due to tariff impacts.
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