Blackrock stated that long-term USA Treasuries served as a buffer during the recent stock market pullback, but their diversification effect in the portfolio has weakened since the pandemic. The Blackrock report indicated that as investors demand more compensation for the risks of holding long-term Bonds, referred to as term premium, yields may rise from current levels. The report noted that core inflation in the USA remains higher than the Federal Reserve's 2% target, which limits the Fed's ability to cut interest rates. The USA fiscal deficit continues to rise, and even with revenue from tariffs and potential spending cuts, it may lead to an increase in term premium. In the past, even with a heavy government debt burden, investors considered long-term Bonds to be low risk because they believed that low inflation and low interest rates would persist. However, the report also stated that this fragile balance has been broken. Blackrock indicated that in this environment, Gold could be a better diversification investment tool than USA Treasuries.
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贝莱德:对美国债券收益率前景感到紧张 黄金可能是比美国国债更好的多元化投资工具
Blackrock: Nervous about the outlook for USA Bond yields, Gold may be a better diversification investment tool than USA Treasuries.
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