CMB International reported that CHINAHONGQIAO's net income last year was 22.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 95%, consistent with the estimated 95% profit growth from December last year. After deducting the fair value loss of convertible Bonds (CB), the core net income last year would reach 24.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 114%. CHINAHONGQIAO announced a final dividend of HK$1.02 per share, in addition to a mid-term dividend of HK$0.59 per share, bringing the annual dividend payout ratio to 63%. The bank considers this a pleasant surprise for investors. It has increased the profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 by 26% and 25% respectively, mainly due to the upward adjustment of Aluminum price assumptions and the downward adjustment of Coal price assumptions. The bank expects that for every 1% increase in Aluminum prices, CHINAHONGQIAO's profit will increase by 3%, and for every 1% decrease in Coal prices, profit will increase by 0.5%. The current stock price corresponds to an attractive dividend yield of approximately 11%. The bank raised its Target Price from HK$19.6 to HK$20.6, maintaining a 'Buy' rating.
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招银国际:上调中国宏桥目标价至20.6港元 上调2025至26年盈利预测
CMB International: Raised the Target Price of CHINAHONGQIAO to HK$20.6 and raised the profit forecast for 2025 to 2026.
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