Economists point out that the number of first-time unemployment claims in Washington D.C. surged in February, possibly reflecting the loss of outsourced jobs. The Oxford Economics Institute predicts that by 2025, federal jobs in the Washington metropolitan area will decrease by 33,700. Economist Allison Shrivastava from the job site Indeed warns, "This year, the USA job market may struggle to absorb all laid-off federal employees." According to the agency's estimates, the federal layoffs in the Washington metropolitan area will lead to a salary loss of up to 4.9 billion USD this year—federal employee compensation originally accounted for 1.6% of the total salary in the region. When considering groups such as contractors that indirectly rely on government spending, the actual economic impact is even more severe. The Real Estate market also indicates that during the layoffs under the Trump administration, more people may be leaving this metropolitan area. Adam Kamins, the regional economic research director at Moody's, analyzes that the retail, hotel, and other consumer-facing industries have already sensed the chill, and the economic pain will diffuse later this year.