According to the New York Fed's Consumer Expectations Survey, the one-year inflation expectation in January remained stable compared to the previous month at 3%. The report indicates that the median expected increase in household spending has decreased by 0.4 percentage points to 4.4%, the lowest level since January 2021, but still above pre-pandemic levels. Expectations for CSI Commodity Equity Index prices have risen across the board for the coming year. The average outlook among respondents regarding the probability of unemployment over the next 12 months increased by 2.3 percentage points to 14.2%, the highest level since July. In the coming year, consumers expect RBOB Gasoline prices to rise by 2.58%, food prices to rise by 4.6%, Medical costs to rise by 6.78%, university Education costs to rise by 5.95%, and rental prices to rise by 5.96%. The proportion of consumers expecting to be unable to meet minimum debt payments in the next three months decreased to 13.32%, down from 14.16% the previous month.

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纽约联储消费者预期调查:家庭支出预期降至四年低点
New York Federal Reserve Consumer Expectations Survey: Household spending expectations have fallen to a four-year low.
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