Blerina Uruci, the chief economist for the USA at T. Rowe Price, stated in a report that the USA's economy is experiencing a "golden girl" moment, where a strong labor market does not currently drive inflation higher. However, Uruci mentioned that this could be an unstable balance. She indicated that the possibility of increased tariffs in the USA poses an upward risk to inflation and a downward risk to economic growth. She noted that the fiscal policy agenda of the Trump administration is somewhat beneficial for economic growth, but immigration policies could tighten the labor market again. In line with market pricing, T. Rowe Price expects the Federal Reserve to maintain the federal funds rate target range at 4.25% - 4.50%. Uruci stated, "I expect Powell wants the January meeting and press conference to be uneventful."
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机构:美国经济的“金发女孩”时刻伴有不稳定均衡
Institutions: The "golden-haired girl" moment of the USA economy is always accompanied by unstable equilibrium.
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