According to CME's "Federal Reserve Watch": the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the interest rate unchanged in January is 93.1%, and the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 6.9%. By March, the probability of maintaining the current interest rate is 59.6%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 37.9%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point cut is 2.5%.
非农公布前，美联储1月维持利率不变的概率为93.1%
Before the non-farm payroll announcement, the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the interest rate unchanged in January is 93.1%.
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