The USA market reacted warmly to Trump's victory, but this trade has since eased. Economist Phil Suttle proposed another scenario. His outlook shows that the more aggressively Trump pushes policies such as deportation and tariffs, the greater the likelihood that the USA will fall into stagflation panic in the coming years. If immigration is cut off and workers are deported, the labor force could lose all growth momentum and even shrink. Suttle estimates that, along with tariffs, economic growth could stagnate or even reverse in 2025 and 2026. Meanwhile, the worker shortage and tariffs could push up prices, potentially raising the inflation rate to over 3% per year. Suttle believes that Trump's more radical policies could exacerbate these effects.
经济学家：特朗普政策越激进，美国经济陷入滞胀的可能性就越大
Economists: The more radical Trump's policies are, the greater the likelihood of the USA economy falling into stagflation.
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