According to CME's "FedWatch": the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in January is 93.1%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 6.9%. The probability of maintaining the current interest rate unchanged until March is 58.6%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 38.8%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 2.6%.
ADP和初请数据公布后,美联储1月维持利率不变的概率为93.1%
After the release of ADP and initial claims data, the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in January is 93.1%.
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