According to CME's "FedWatch": the probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain the interest rate unchanged in January next year is 91.4%, and the probability of a 25 basis points cut is 8.6%. By March next year, the probability of maintaining the current interest rate unchanged is 47.6%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis points cut is 48.3%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis points cut is 4.1%.
美联储明年1月维持利率不变的概率为91.4%
The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in January next year is 91.4%.
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