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债市走强资金抢跑明显 机构对后市有分歧

The bond market is strengthening and funds are clearly on the run, with Institutions having differing views on future trends.

Breakings ·  Dec 17, 2024 07:14

In the past month, the yield on 10-year government bonds has continued to decline, with the latest rate approaching 1.7%. The phrase 'less than 200 basis points (BP) in my career' has become popular among bond traders. Since November, under favorable conditions such as Institutions anticipating a trading cut, allocating ahead of next year's coupon assets, and overall manageable supply pressure, bond market rates have once again entered a downward channel. Recently, as policies signal further easing, bullish sentiment in the bond market has surged again, and the yield on 10-year government bonds has reached a new low. Several Institution representatives told reporters that considering the current low inflation levels in the country, there is still a demand for a reduction in real interest rates, suggesting that there may be further downward space for 10-year government bonds. However, some Institution representatives also indicated that after the yield on 10-year government bonds reached a new low, profit-taking sentiment in the bond market may gradually accumulate, leading to increased resistance to further declines.

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