According to CME's "Federal Reserve Watch": The probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain the current interest rate unchanged until December is 4.6%, while the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 95.4%. The probability of maintaining the current interest rate unchanged until January next year is 3.8%, with a cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut of 79.9% and a cumulative probability of a 50 basis point cut of 16.3%.
美联储12月降息25个基点的概率为95.4%
The probability of the Federal Reserve reducing interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 95.4%.
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