According to CME's 'FedWatch': The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the current interest rate until December is 1.4%, and the cumulative probability of a 25 basis points rate cut is 98.6%. The probability of maintaining the current interest rate until January next year is 1.1%, and the cumulative probability of a 25 basis points rate cut is 79.9%, while the cumulative probability of a 50 basis points rate cut is 19%.
美联储12月降息25个基点的概率为98.6%
The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 98.6%.
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